Wednesday, February 16, 2005
On This Day in Middle Earth
The Fellowship departs Lorien. Gollum watches from hiding on the west bank.
Tuesday, February 15, 2005
Will Medicare cover Viagra for Missile Defense?
Donald Rumsfeld couldn't get his rocket up. Again.
This past Sunday, the Pentagon tried to test its missile defense system, aka "Star Wars." The basic principle is the theory that a missile launched by the U.S. could hit and destroy an enemy missile heading in our direction.
As in the previous test in December, the interceptor rocket failed to launch.
There have now been 10 tests of the system. Five were considered "successes," even though in those cases the interceptor rockets were programmed with the trajectories of their targets. The last three tests in a row have failed.
The system also reportedly doesn't work in cloudy weather.
So assuming North Korea, or perhaps China, launches eight missiles or less (the number of interceptor rockets we have in place) on a sunny day and provides us with the rockets' itineraries in advance, we can hope to knock out half of them.
Better check with Ned Flanders and see if he's got room for you in his shelterini.
Each test costs approximately $85 million. Funding for the program over the next five years is estimated at $50 billion.
What an enormous waste of money. The program is impotent against terrorist threats; it's highly, highly unlikely that a terrorist organization could get its hands on and successfully launch a long-range ballistic missile. Even if they could get a nuclear or conventional warhead on a missile, it's more likely to be a smaller, short-range rocket that theoretically might be launched from a boat just off the U.S. coast. Our interceptor could never get there in time.
Publicly and repeatedly demonstrating its dysfunction calls into question its effectiveness as a tool of deterrence, as well.
Simply put, given the likelihood of an intercontinental missile attack on the U.S. (right now, slim) and the fact that many experts doubt the concept could ever work, we should be directing our financial and technical resources to more immediate threats, such as finding ways to defend nuclear and chemical plants and other parts of the infrastructure from terrorist attacks.
This past Sunday, the Pentagon tried to test its missile defense system, aka "Star Wars." The basic principle is the theory that a missile launched by the U.S. could hit and destroy an enemy missile heading in our direction.
As in the previous test in December, the interceptor rocket failed to launch.
There have now been 10 tests of the system. Five were considered "successes," even though in those cases the interceptor rockets were programmed with the trajectories of their targets. The last three tests in a row have failed.
The system also reportedly doesn't work in cloudy weather.
So assuming North Korea, or perhaps China, launches eight missiles or less (the number of interceptor rockets we have in place) on a sunny day and provides us with the rockets' itineraries in advance, we can hope to knock out half of them.
Better check with Ned Flanders and see if he's got room for you in his shelterini.
Each test costs approximately $85 million. Funding for the program over the next five years is estimated at $50 billion.
What an enormous waste of money. The program is impotent against terrorist threats; it's highly, highly unlikely that a terrorist organization could get its hands on and successfully launch a long-range ballistic missile. Even if they could get a nuclear or conventional warhead on a missile, it's more likely to be a smaller, short-range rocket that theoretically might be launched from a boat just off the U.S. coast. Our interceptor could never get there in time.
Publicly and repeatedly demonstrating its dysfunction calls into question its effectiveness as a tool of deterrence, as well.
Simply put, given the likelihood of an intercontinental missile attack on the U.S. (right now, slim) and the fact that many experts doubt the concept could ever work, we should be directing our financial and technical resources to more immediate threats, such as finding ways to defend nuclear and chemical plants and other parts of the infrastructure from terrorist attacks.
Monday, February 14, 2005
Valentine's Day Special
To all you single-types out there, here's my Valentine's Day mantra: "Sempre libera!" It's Italian for always free (and I'm not talking about my low price) and it's Violetta's famous Act I cabaletta from La Traviata by Giuseppe Verdi. I haven't counted, but I suspect I have more recordings of this aria than any other. (Any other aria, I mean, not any other gay man.)
June Anderson: live concert with Alfredo Kraus at the Paris Opera -- he sings Alfredo's lines onstage so they are disconcertingly loud. Plus he was 400 years old at the time. Above a Bb she doesn't wobble, but that's because it's a straight-tone.
Montserrat Caballe: One of my favorites, even if she didn't have an Eb. The Db's -- the first stunningly floated, the second exhilaratingly full -- and the perfect pacing make up for not cutting the second verse of "Ah! fors'e lui."
Maria Callas: Live in Lisbon, grainy sound, but true Callas. The Eb can only be described as "determined."
Ileana Cotrubas: A hair light for my taste, but it's not like I could do any better. Always extra credit for an Eb.
Renee Fleming: It's a pretty good high C.
Mirella Freni: She sang the CRAP out of the rest of the role, give her a break.
Monika Krause: You can actually hear her cords shredding.
Nellie Melba: Self-indulgent.
Anna Moffo (La Bellissima recital disc): Brilliant.
Anna Moffo (complete RCA recording): Not so libera.
Jennifer Rouse: Live in concert with the Zurich Opera; breathtakingly fast, but she nails it and tops it off with a flawless, spinning Eb. The crowd goes wild.
Renata Scotto, first recording (DG): Pretty much perfection.
Beverly Sills: technically perfect, yet oddly (for her) lacks the necessary sense of abandon. Deliberate.
Cheryl Studer: Not as funny as her "Una voce poco fa."
Joan Sutherland: Thuppralubbera.
Kiri te Kanawa: You didn't think she could do it!
Carol Vaness: I blame the conductor.
Virginia Zeani: The ideal voice for this role; recording was made past her prime so the coloratura is a bit muddy, but her diction and colors are phenomenal.
June Anderson: live concert with Alfredo Kraus at the Paris Opera -- he sings Alfredo's lines onstage so they are disconcertingly loud. Plus he was 400 years old at the time. Above a Bb she doesn't wobble, but that's because it's a straight-tone.
Montserrat Caballe: One of my favorites, even if she didn't have an Eb. The Db's -- the first stunningly floated, the second exhilaratingly full -- and the perfect pacing make up for not cutting the second verse of "Ah! fors'e lui."
Maria Callas: Live in Lisbon, grainy sound, but true Callas. The Eb can only be described as "determined."
Ileana Cotrubas: A hair light for my taste, but it's not like I could do any better. Always extra credit for an Eb.
Renee Fleming: It's a pretty good high C.
Mirella Freni: She sang the CRAP out of the rest of the role, give her a break.
Monika Krause: You can actually hear her cords shredding.
Nellie Melba: Self-indulgent.
Anna Moffo (La Bellissima recital disc): Brilliant.
Anna Moffo (complete RCA recording): Not so libera.
Jennifer Rouse: Live in concert with the Zurich Opera; breathtakingly fast, but she nails it and tops it off with a flawless, spinning Eb. The crowd goes wild.
Renata Scotto, first recording (DG): Pretty much perfection.
Beverly Sills: technically perfect, yet oddly (for her) lacks the necessary sense of abandon. Deliberate.
Cheryl Studer: Not as funny as her "Una voce poco fa."
Joan Sutherland: Thuppralubbera.
Kiri te Kanawa: You didn't think she could do it!
Carol Vaness: I blame the conductor.
Virginia Zeani: The ideal voice for this role; recording was made past her prime so the coloratura is a bit muddy, but her diction and colors are phenomenal.
Selling Social Security
Over the past couple of weeks I've written a few things about the current Social Security debate which have generated more commentary than what I usually get. I'm grateful not only for the readership, but also for the responses, from which I've learned quite a lot -- not necessarily about Social Security, but about our perceptions of it.
The Democratic leadership is right on this, but we're at risk of losing the public relations war. One of the recurring criticisms is that it's a partisan agenda motivated primarily by our distaste for anything generated by this administration.
The party is, and should be, opposed to privatizing Social Security, but the most important point to make is not our opposition, but rather that Bush's plan cannot do what he claims it will. That's really the issue here.
We should embrace the ideals that President Bush and other conservatives are putting forward. We should encourage people to plan for their own retirement. (Reducing and eliminating the portions of the population who live paycheck to paycheck and have nothing left over with which to save or invest should be a priority.) We should find ways to encourage small-scale private investment. We should emphasize personal responsibility and fiscal discipline, even if we can't point to role models in the government. All of this, however, should be over and above our commitment to the current program.
The Democratic leadership is right on this, but we're at risk of losing the public relations war. One of the recurring criticisms is that it's a partisan agenda motivated primarily by our distaste for anything generated by this administration.
The party is, and should be, opposed to privatizing Social Security, but the most important point to make is not our opposition, but rather that Bush's plan cannot do what he claims it will. That's really the issue here.
We should embrace the ideals that President Bush and other conservatives are putting forward. We should encourage people to plan for their own retirement. (Reducing and eliminating the portions of the population who live paycheck to paycheck and have nothing left over with which to save or invest should be a priority.) We should find ways to encourage small-scale private investment. We should emphasize personal responsibility and fiscal discipline, even if we can't point to role models in the government. All of this, however, should be over and above our commitment to the current program.
- Bush's plan is fantastically expensive and financially unsound. No financial advisor would tell you to take out a loan to invest in the stock market or to purchase stocks on credit and hope that you make enough money not only to profit but to pay back the loan and its interest. But that is exactly what Bush intends to do; in a time of record debt, he proposes borrowing trillions (by some estimates, the cost could total $15 trillion over 30 years) to pay for the transition.
- It doesn't solve the shortfall. The White House's own analysts admit that the Bush plan will have no effect on the shortfall which is anticipated around the year 2042.
- Guaranteed Risk. Right now from the time you retire until the day you die, you can count on a guaranteed dollar amount each month and certain benefits. Under the Bush plan, your personal account would have to see sustained growth at better than 3% in order for you to do better than the current system. If there was a recession or depression, you stand the risk of having significantly less to draw on.
- Limited. Once you stop working, you stop diverting into your personal account. Whatever you've invested is all you have. It's up to you to make that resource last the rest of your life.
- Where do you invest? A recent letter in the New York Times pointed out, "If President Bush's Social Security plan were in effect in the late 1940's, when I was starting my career, prudence would have guided me to invest in corporations like Anaconda Copper Mining, the Pennsylvania Railroad, the New York Central Railroad, R.C.A. and Pan American Airways - all of them giants of their day. And what kind of retirement would they have provided me?" Enron, also, would have looked like a solid investment.
- Reduction of Benefits. Bush wants to tie Social Security benefits to the cost of living index, which according to experts on both sides of the debate "would significantly lower guaranteed benefits."
- Flawed Analysis. Using a worst-case scenario projection, Bush foresees a multi-billion dollar shortfall in the Social Security budget around the year 2042. Such an outcome is entirely possible. However, if you apply his own plan to the same forecasts, retirees come out significantly better under the current system, even if it is unchanged. Bush uses a very optimistic vision of economic recovery to promote the "personal accounts" idea; if you apply those numbers to the current system, there won't be a budget shortfall.
- Not the real crisis. Bush's Medicare bill, passed in 2003, will cost almost twice what he promised it would; the new total is almost seven times more expensive than the projected Social Security shortfall. The Medicare bill goes into effect in 2006 and by 2015 will have cost $720 billion; even the most ardent supporters of Bush's reforms say that Social Security is completely solvent until 2018, while other projections say it's safe until as late as 2052 or beyond.
Friday, February 11, 2005
Wrong, Again
The Bush Administration today rejected a request from North Korea for one-on-one bilateral negotiations.
"There's plenty of opportunities for North Korea to speak directly with us in the context of the six-party talks," said White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan.
No, we won't talk to you one-on-one, but we will talk to you in a group? What sense does that make? North Korea doesn't want to have group talks, at least for now, but they are interested in sitting down with U.S. officials. Bush says no. One can assume from his comments during the Kerry debates that he would consider this giving in to Kim Jong Il.
"Giving in" would be allowing North Korea to continue with its nuclear weapons program: exactly what Bush is doing.
Agreeing to the talks North Korea wants is what we in the reality-based environment like to call "compromise."
"It's not an issue between North Korea and the United States," McClellan explained. "It's a regional issue. And it's an issue that impacts all of its neighbors."
I suppose that's why we went to war against Iraq over the objection of every government in the middle east, Kuwait and Israel excepted.
"The U.S. disclosed its attempt to topple the political system in the DPRK [Democratic People's Republic of Korea] at any cost, threatening it with a nuclear stick. This compels us to take a measure to bolster its nuclear weapons arsenal in order to protect the ideology, system, freedom and democracy chosen by the people in the DPRK," said a North Korean official.
Hmm. It sounds to me like the North Koreans think it's an issue with the U.S. Bush doesn't seem to understand that. Maybe if he'd sit down and listen to what people are saying for once his policies wouldn't be so misguided.
UPDATE: Fred Kaplan of Slate agrees.
"There's plenty of opportunities for North Korea to speak directly with us in the context of the six-party talks," said White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan.
No, we won't talk to you one-on-one, but we will talk to you in a group? What sense does that make? North Korea doesn't want to have group talks, at least for now, but they are interested in sitting down with U.S. officials. Bush says no. One can assume from his comments during the Kerry debates that he would consider this giving in to Kim Jong Il.
"Giving in" would be allowing North Korea to continue with its nuclear weapons program: exactly what Bush is doing.
Agreeing to the talks North Korea wants is what we in the reality-based environment like to call "compromise."
"It's not an issue between North Korea and the United States," McClellan explained. "It's a regional issue. And it's an issue that impacts all of its neighbors."
I suppose that's why we went to war against Iraq over the objection of every government in the middle east, Kuwait and Israel excepted.
"The U.S. disclosed its attempt to topple the political system in the DPRK [Democratic People's Republic of Korea] at any cost, threatening it with a nuclear stick. This compels us to take a measure to bolster its nuclear weapons arsenal in order to protect the ideology, system, freedom and democracy chosen by the people in the DPRK," said a North Korean official.
Hmm. It sounds to me like the North Koreans think it's an issue with the U.S. Bush doesn't seem to understand that. Maybe if he'd sit down and listen to what people are saying for once his policies wouldn't be so misguided.
UPDATE: Fred Kaplan of Slate agrees.
Social Security's Motto
A while back one of my comment threads on Social Security took a Biblical turn, with one reader insisting that taxes violate the 8th and 10th Commandments (though, hi, separation of church and state and Jesus himself famously defended taxes). I found a couple of other verses in Social Security's defense, including a really great one from Deuteronomy. Last night I came across this one, which I like very much.
Philippians 2:4: "Each of you should look not only to your own interests but also to the interests of others."
Anyway, the bottom line with Bush's plan is greater risk at greater cost based on phony numbers.
Philippians 2:4: "Each of you should look not only to your own interests but also to the interests of others."
Anyway, the bottom line with Bush's plan is greater risk at greater cost based on phony numbers.
Thursday, February 10, 2005
Tuesday, February 08, 2005
Defining Success
Buried down at the bottom of a long thread of comments on one of my recent Social Security posts, I got this note:
You guys are right. Your arguments have won me over to your side. Economics and real figures mean nothing to me now. The only thing that matters is 'Bush is evil and so is anything he endorses.' If his ideas had actually proven to be completely wrong, I might be somewhat disposed to truly agree with you guys. However, his initiatives like tax cuts, liberating Iraq, and the prevention of any domestic terror attacks since 9/11 are proven successes.
It's hard for me to make a convincing argument that I don't oppose Bush for partisan reasons, because everything he's done has been so objectionable. I could respect a traditional low-tax/small government Republican who ran a tight fiscal ship and placed an emphasis on personal responsibility, even if I might object to their social conservatism. But Bush is a low-tax/huge-government/big debt/fuzzy-math prevaricator with a severe Manichaean complex. And that's me being objective. If I want to get personal, he's a bigot who wants to discriminate against me in the Constitution.
His tax cuts were a success? I guess that depends on how you define their intent. In 2001, the tax cuts were sold as an aggressive way to rejuvenate the slowing economy. For all our buck, we didn't get much of a bang. Employment numbers are just now returning to pre-Bush levels, though a number of studies indicate the jobs being created aren't on par with the jobs that have been lost. The debt is still there. Well, actually, it's bigger. Defenders will say, "But we had 9/11 and the war on terrorism and corporate scandals and hurricanes," etc. Yes, we did. But a responsible President would tell voters and Congress, "Hey folks, we've got some problems right now, and it's going to cost us a little something to get through them." Now, Bush knows it costs something to get through these troubles, because he upped the spending. He just gave away the money he needed to pay for it.
If you buy something and put it on a credit card, there's interest. Well, there's interest on our debt, too (a scary amount of which is owned by China). It's going to cost us much more money in the long run to pay down this debt because of all the interest. For Republicans and Libertarians who chant, "Low taxes!", it's really in your best interest to raise taxes and pay this stuff off now, because the bill just keeps getting bigger. You'll have to pay for it someday. I can't believe that's not obvious.
So there's no evidence that Bush's enormous tax cuts helped the economy; over a four-year period, the economy might just have recovered on its own. In fact, it might have recovered faster and more robustly had we raised taxes. So how can they be considered a success?
They're a success if you like the "starve the beast" idea: reduce tax revenues so that the government will have to cut spending. You can see this played out in Bush's budget that came out this week: $15 billion in cuts for the environment, housing and heating programs, medical coverage for veterans, transportation, homeland security (yup), education programs and others. Against the federal debt, $15 billion is a drop in the swimming pool, but it has a severe impact on the effectiveness of these programs. Oh, Bush's budget includes additional tax cuts for top-tier earners.
It's far too early to be judging success in Iraq. The election was a big step in the right direction, but the credit goes to the Iraqi people for risking their lives to vote, not to George Bush who failed to provide adequate daily security. It's worth mentioning that we sponsored a democratic election in Vietnam in 1967, and look at all the good that did. The party of America's hand-picked president, Iyad Allawi, hasn't done nearly as well in early returns as the cleric-controlled Shiite coalition which is pro-Iran and favors a constitution based on Islamic law. A recent poll revealed that 92% of Iraqis view the US as "occupiers," not "liberators." Memo to Bush: a lot of those voters were voting for candidates who promised to get you out of Iraq.
Two years after our invasion, public works like sanitation and electricity have not returned to pre-war levels. As many as 100,000 Iraqi civilians have been killed, according to one academic study. Fallujah has been flattened -- twice -- and a recent CIA report describes Iraq as a breeding ground for the next generation of terrorists. Almost $9 billion in US taxpayer money intended for Iraqi government ministries has been "misplaced."
If by success you mean that untold numbers of Iraqis -- many of whom are likely innocent -- have been tortured and sexually humiliated, okay. If by success you mean we sent our Secretary of State to the UN to make a presentation with phony evidence, okay. If by success you mean the Secretary of Defense can say, "We know where they are," referring to WMDs in Iraq and still have his job after Bush's investigators concluded that the UN and Clinton got rid of them by 1998, then okay. If by success in the war on terror you mean that not a single 9/11-related trial has been successfully prosecuted, okay. If you mean success by not knowing where bin Laden is producing his community-access public service announcement videos, then okay.
As far as I'm concerned, it's too early to call.
It's a fair point to make that the US has not had any terrorist attacks since 9/11. But then, America didn't suffer any domestic terrorist attacks at the hand of radical Muslims after the 1993 attack while Clinton was in charge, either. And I don't know where this poster lives, but I can guarantee you he doesn't ride the subway in New York City. I don't know anyone who doesn't feel vulnerable there. Chemical and nuclear plants have been given voluntary guidelines about safeguarding from a terrorist attack. No one has volunteered. Just yesterday, Slate Magazine discovered how easy it is to create a fake boarding pass for a commercial airline using the internet. So much for the no-fly list, which grounded Senator Kennedy and Cat Stevens. The lists created by public watchdog agencies of America's terrorist vulnerabilities are staggering. Departing Homeland Security head Tom Ridge said he was surprised no one has attacked our food supply yet.
So if you want to call all that a "success," fine. From where I sit, George W. Bush is a failure of catastrophic proportions.
You guys are right. Your arguments have won me over to your side. Economics and real figures mean nothing to me now. The only thing that matters is 'Bush is evil and so is anything he endorses.' If his ideas had actually proven to be completely wrong, I might be somewhat disposed to truly agree with you guys. However, his initiatives like tax cuts, liberating Iraq, and the prevention of any domestic terror attacks since 9/11 are proven successes.
It's hard for me to make a convincing argument that I don't oppose Bush for partisan reasons, because everything he's done has been so objectionable. I could respect a traditional low-tax/small government Republican who ran a tight fiscal ship and placed an emphasis on personal responsibility, even if I might object to their social conservatism. But Bush is a low-tax/huge-government/big debt/fuzzy-math prevaricator with a severe Manichaean complex. And that's me being objective. If I want to get personal, he's a bigot who wants to discriminate against me in the Constitution.
His tax cuts were a success? I guess that depends on how you define their intent. In 2001, the tax cuts were sold as an aggressive way to rejuvenate the slowing economy. For all our buck, we didn't get much of a bang. Employment numbers are just now returning to pre-Bush levels, though a number of studies indicate the jobs being created aren't on par with the jobs that have been lost. The debt is still there. Well, actually, it's bigger. Defenders will say, "But we had 9/11 and the war on terrorism and corporate scandals and hurricanes," etc. Yes, we did. But a responsible President would tell voters and Congress, "Hey folks, we've got some problems right now, and it's going to cost us a little something to get through them." Now, Bush knows it costs something to get through these troubles, because he upped the spending. He just gave away the money he needed to pay for it.
If you buy something and put it on a credit card, there's interest. Well, there's interest on our debt, too (a scary amount of which is owned by China). It's going to cost us much more money in the long run to pay down this debt because of all the interest. For Republicans and Libertarians who chant, "Low taxes!", it's really in your best interest to raise taxes and pay this stuff off now, because the bill just keeps getting bigger. You'll have to pay for it someday. I can't believe that's not obvious.
So there's no evidence that Bush's enormous tax cuts helped the economy; over a four-year period, the economy might just have recovered on its own. In fact, it might have recovered faster and more robustly had we raised taxes. So how can they be considered a success?
They're a success if you like the "starve the beast" idea: reduce tax revenues so that the government will have to cut spending. You can see this played out in Bush's budget that came out this week: $15 billion in cuts for the environment, housing and heating programs, medical coverage for veterans, transportation, homeland security (yup), education programs and others. Against the federal debt, $15 billion is a drop in the swimming pool, but it has a severe impact on the effectiveness of these programs. Oh, Bush's budget includes additional tax cuts for top-tier earners.
It's far too early to be judging success in Iraq. The election was a big step in the right direction, but the credit goes to the Iraqi people for risking their lives to vote, not to George Bush who failed to provide adequate daily security. It's worth mentioning that we sponsored a democratic election in Vietnam in 1967, and look at all the good that did. The party of America's hand-picked president, Iyad Allawi, hasn't done nearly as well in early returns as the cleric-controlled Shiite coalition which is pro-Iran and favors a constitution based on Islamic law. A recent poll revealed that 92% of Iraqis view the US as "occupiers," not "liberators." Memo to Bush: a lot of those voters were voting for candidates who promised to get you out of Iraq.
Two years after our invasion, public works like sanitation and electricity have not returned to pre-war levels. As many as 100,000 Iraqi civilians have been killed, according to one academic study. Fallujah has been flattened -- twice -- and a recent CIA report describes Iraq as a breeding ground for the next generation of terrorists. Almost $9 billion in US taxpayer money intended for Iraqi government ministries has been "misplaced."
If by success you mean that untold numbers of Iraqis -- many of whom are likely innocent -- have been tortured and sexually humiliated, okay. If by success you mean we sent our Secretary of State to the UN to make a presentation with phony evidence, okay. If by success you mean the Secretary of Defense can say, "We know where they are," referring to WMDs in Iraq and still have his job after Bush's investigators concluded that the UN and Clinton got rid of them by 1998, then okay. If by success in the war on terror you mean that not a single 9/11-related trial has been successfully prosecuted, okay. If you mean success by not knowing where bin Laden is producing his community-access public service announcement videos, then okay.
As far as I'm concerned, it's too early to call.
It's a fair point to make that the US has not had any terrorist attacks since 9/11. But then, America didn't suffer any domestic terrorist attacks at the hand of radical Muslims after the 1993 attack while Clinton was in charge, either. And I don't know where this poster lives, but I can guarantee you he doesn't ride the subway in New York City. I don't know anyone who doesn't feel vulnerable there. Chemical and nuclear plants have been given voluntary guidelines about safeguarding from a terrorist attack. No one has volunteered. Just yesterday, Slate Magazine discovered how easy it is to create a fake boarding pass for a commercial airline using the internet. So much for the no-fly list, which grounded Senator Kennedy and Cat Stevens. The lists created by public watchdog agencies of America's terrorist vulnerabilities are staggering. Departing Homeland Security head Tom Ridge said he was surprised no one has attacked our food supply yet.
So if you want to call all that a "success," fine. From where I sit, George W. Bush is a failure of catastrophic proportions.
Monday, February 07, 2005
It's Dean
CNN is reporting that Howard Dean is now the only candidate left in the race for DNC chair.
This Democrat couldn't be happier.
Go ahead, all you GOP types, who think this is the best thing that could happen to your party and that it's the final nail in the Democrats' coffin. You will live to eat crow, I have no doubt. And I can't wait.
You don't know him. The media got lots of attention doing stories on Howard Dean, the madman loose-cannon of the far-out lefties, YEEEEEAAAAAAARRRRRGGGGH! But those of us who really followed his campaign and stumped for him at the grassroots level know that he's not a radical at all; his values are far more in line with mainstream America than Tom DeLay's or Rick "Man-on-Dog" Santorum's. He was politically assassinated by a caricature created by the media, happily fed by GOP operatives and abandoned by the gutless leaders at the DNC who feared him.
His campaign did not self-destruct. The cowardly Iowa voters bought into the hype about Dean and were scared by the conventional wisdom that he was "unelectable." Had the first primaries been held in places like New York, California, Washington, Texas, Oregon or even Massachusetts, he'd have sunk Kerry. And I firmly believe he'd have sunk Bush, because he'd have had the courage from day one to confront Bush on his lies.
He will not run the DNC into the ground; on the contrary, he will revitalize the party. Largely bereft of real leadership in Congress, we now have a prominent figure with national recognition to call Bush's bluffs. And call them he will. Dean will be a success because he doesn't need spin, he has facts. Oh Bush, your next four years are not going to be a lot of fun for you.
Dean is every bit as charming and likeable as you and then some. The media will make him their new pet, and you and your folks are going to have to start facing, if not answering, some uncomfortable questions. We'll all get to watch you hem and haw and spontaneously prevaricate. It will be quite a show.
You may have won the election, but your agenda is toast.
This Democrat couldn't be happier.
Go ahead, all you GOP types, who think this is the best thing that could happen to your party and that it's the final nail in the Democrats' coffin. You will live to eat crow, I have no doubt. And I can't wait.
You don't know him. The media got lots of attention doing stories on Howard Dean, the madman loose-cannon of the far-out lefties, YEEEEEAAAAAAARRRRRGGGGH! But those of us who really followed his campaign and stumped for him at the grassroots level know that he's not a radical at all; his values are far more in line with mainstream America than Tom DeLay's or Rick "Man-on-Dog" Santorum's. He was politically assassinated by a caricature created by the media, happily fed by GOP operatives and abandoned by the gutless leaders at the DNC who feared him.
His campaign did not self-destruct. The cowardly Iowa voters bought into the hype about Dean and were scared by the conventional wisdom that he was "unelectable." Had the first primaries been held in places like New York, California, Washington, Texas, Oregon or even Massachusetts, he'd have sunk Kerry. And I firmly believe he'd have sunk Bush, because he'd have had the courage from day one to confront Bush on his lies.
He will not run the DNC into the ground; on the contrary, he will revitalize the party. Largely bereft of real leadership in Congress, we now have a prominent figure with national recognition to call Bush's bluffs. And call them he will. Dean will be a success because he doesn't need spin, he has facts. Oh Bush, your next four years are not going to be a lot of fun for you.
Dean is every bit as charming and likeable as you and then some. The media will make him their new pet, and you and your folks are going to have to start facing, if not answering, some uncomfortable questions. We'll all get to watch you hem and haw and spontaneously prevaricate. It will be quite a show.
You may have won the election, but your agenda is toast.
Sunday, February 06, 2005
Why Bush's Plan is a Scam
The New York Times spells it out for you today; here's highlights from the lead editorial.
What you deposit into your private account would be subtracted from your regular benefits: "Your Social Security benefit would be reduced, dollar for dollar, by the amount of money you deposit into your private account and an additional charge amounting to 3 percent plus the rate of inflation. All the money that is drained off would presumably go to pay for the enormous upfront government borrowing - $4.5 trillion over the next 20 years - that privatization would require."
Your account would have to grow at 3% over inflation to do what Bush promises: "People whose private accounts steadily earned three percentage points over inflation throughout their working lives would wind up with exactly what they would have gotten if Social Security remained untouched. Anyone who earned less than that would end up with less than is offered by the current system."
It doesn't solve the problem: "Establishing private accounts does nothing to solve the long-term shortfall in the system."
Privatization will require drastic benefit cuts: "All in all, they would leave the average worker with a government benefit worth only about 10 percent of his or her preretirement earnings. (Currently, Social Security replaces about 35 percent, on average.)"
Necessary safeguards will stifle growth: "Mr. Bush assured listeners that the government would prevent people from making bad decisions by restricting their investments to a conservative mix of stocks and bonds. But the more restrictions there are, the harder it would be for people to achieve the outsized returns that the administration has generally promoted to sell the public on private accounts."
Your heirs will only inherit a portion of your account, unless you die before you retire: "That works entirely only if you die before you retire. Under a scheme that is going to take a while for the public to digest, the White House wants to require new retirees to use their private accounts to buy annuities large enough to keep them above the poverty line for the rest of their lives. The most they could leave to heirs, then, would be what is left over after the annuities are purchased."
Bush has never given us a reason to trust him. Now is no time to start.
What you deposit into your private account would be subtracted from your regular benefits: "Your Social Security benefit would be reduced, dollar for dollar, by the amount of money you deposit into your private account and an additional charge amounting to 3 percent plus the rate of inflation. All the money that is drained off would presumably go to pay for the enormous upfront government borrowing - $4.5 trillion over the next 20 years - that privatization would require."
Your account would have to grow at 3% over inflation to do what Bush promises: "People whose private accounts steadily earned three percentage points over inflation throughout their working lives would wind up with exactly what they would have gotten if Social Security remained untouched. Anyone who earned less than that would end up with less than is offered by the current system."
It doesn't solve the problem: "Establishing private accounts does nothing to solve the long-term shortfall in the system."
Privatization will require drastic benefit cuts: "All in all, they would leave the average worker with a government benefit worth only about 10 percent of his or her preretirement earnings. (Currently, Social Security replaces about 35 percent, on average.)"
Necessary safeguards will stifle growth: "Mr. Bush assured listeners that the government would prevent people from making bad decisions by restricting their investments to a conservative mix of stocks and bonds. But the more restrictions there are, the harder it would be for people to achieve the outsized returns that the administration has generally promoted to sell the public on private accounts."
Your heirs will only inherit a portion of your account, unless you die before you retire: "That works entirely only if you die before you retire. Under a scheme that is going to take a while for the public to digest, the White House wants to require new retirees to use their private accounts to buy annuities large enough to keep them above the poverty line for the rest of their lives. The most they could leave to heirs, then, would be what is left over after the annuities are purchased."
Bush has never given us a reason to trust him. Now is no time to start.
Marriage Update: City Will Appeal
Mayor Michael Bloomberg announced yesterday that the City of New York will appeal the recent ruling that state marriage laws violate constitutional guarantees of equal protection and due process.
It's a surprising move for Bloomberg, who is up for re-election this year. The former Democrat switched to the Republican party, presumably to run in the mayoral race on the popular Giuliani's coattails. He is not, however, a Bush style Republican. He's rather liberal, socially, and is fiscally responsible (west side stadium idea singularly excepted). The same would be true for most Republicans in New York City: social moderates, fiscal conservatives, leaning probably more toward libertarianism.
Bloomberg faces primary challenges from a couple of Republicans who complain he is not toeing the party line; one of the famous RINO's: Republican in Name Only. At yesterday's announcement, he voiced his personal support for gay marriage but conceded he is obligated to appeal because state law does not permit same-sex marriage.
It's a gamble: will it be enough for more conservative New Yorkers (especially in Giuliani's Staten Island backyard) that he subordinates his personal feelings to the law, or will he alienate the moderate and liberal contingencies -- which are far larger -- by going to bat for a law that he himself admits he doesn't agree with?
Furthermore -- and here my lawyer readers can help me out, please -- isn't the City's tactic a little redundant? Their argument is that state law forbids same-sex marriage. The judge has ruled that law unconstitutional, but the City is going to try to defend itself using the unconstitutional law? I wish them luck.
Oh, wait. No, I don't.
It's a surprising move for Bloomberg, who is up for re-election this year. The former Democrat switched to the Republican party, presumably to run in the mayoral race on the popular Giuliani's coattails. He is not, however, a Bush style Republican. He's rather liberal, socially, and is fiscally responsible (west side stadium idea singularly excepted). The same would be true for most Republicans in New York City: social moderates, fiscal conservatives, leaning probably more toward libertarianism.
Bloomberg faces primary challenges from a couple of Republicans who complain he is not toeing the party line; one of the famous RINO's: Republican in Name Only. At yesterday's announcement, he voiced his personal support for gay marriage but conceded he is obligated to appeal because state law does not permit same-sex marriage.
It's a gamble: will it be enough for more conservative New Yorkers (especially in Giuliani's Staten Island backyard) that he subordinates his personal feelings to the law, or will he alienate the moderate and liberal contingencies -- which are far larger -- by going to bat for a law that he himself admits he doesn't agree with?
Furthermore -- and here my lawyer readers can help me out, please -- isn't the City's tactic a little redundant? Their argument is that state law forbids same-sex marriage. The judge has ruled that law unconstitutional, but the City is going to try to defend itself using the unconstitutional law? I wish them luck.
Oh, wait. No, I don't.
Saturday, February 05, 2005
NY State Marriage Law Declared Unconstitutional
From today's NY Times:
"A New York State judge in Manhattan ruled yesterday that a state law that effectively denied gay couples the right to marry violated the state Constitution, a decision that raised the possibility that the city would begin issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples as soon as next month."
"The state's Domestic Relations Law, which dates to 1909 and limits marriage to unions between opposite-sex couples, deprived gay couples of equal protection and due process rights under the state Constitution."
The City has 30 days in which to appeal; if they don't, it could "turn New York City into a gay marriage Mecca," said one city official, who spoke to the Times on condition of anonymity.
Hmm, and that would be bad because...? Has anyone done an analysis of the effects of gay marriage on the economy in Massachusetts? Last year they had a record year for tourism, and all other wedding-related industries such as florists, caterers, etc., etc. I think if we did some research on that, we'd hear George W. Bush change his tune. We all know that the way to a Republican's heart is through his wallet.
Here's the icing on the wedding cake:
"Another couple, Mary Jo Kennedy and Jo-Ann Shain, said it was their 16-year-old daughter, Aliya Shain, who convinced them to seek a marriage license and join the suit. Aliya, smiling into the blaze of camera flashes and television crews, said she was proud of her parents. The family lives in Brooklyn, and Aliya, who had skipped physics class to attend the event, said that her friends at school were supportive and that she hoped the rest of the country would be as well.
When asked about Mr. Bush's speech, she said, "I would invite the president to spend a day in my home because I think that would greatly change his mind.""
You tell him, girl.
"A New York State judge in Manhattan ruled yesterday that a state law that effectively denied gay couples the right to marry violated the state Constitution, a decision that raised the possibility that the city would begin issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples as soon as next month."
"The state's Domestic Relations Law, which dates to 1909 and limits marriage to unions between opposite-sex couples, deprived gay couples of equal protection and due process rights under the state Constitution."
The City has 30 days in which to appeal; if they don't, it could "turn New York City into a gay marriage Mecca," said one city official, who spoke to the Times on condition of anonymity.
Hmm, and that would be bad because...? Has anyone done an analysis of the effects of gay marriage on the economy in Massachusetts? Last year they had a record year for tourism, and all other wedding-related industries such as florists, caterers, etc., etc. I think if we did some research on that, we'd hear George W. Bush change his tune. We all know that the way to a Republican's heart is through his wallet.
Here's the icing on the wedding cake:
"Another couple, Mary Jo Kennedy and Jo-Ann Shain, said it was their 16-year-old daughter, Aliya Shain, who convinced them to seek a marriage license and join the suit. Aliya, smiling into the blaze of camera flashes and television crews, said she was proud of her parents. The family lives in Brooklyn, and Aliya, who had skipped physics class to attend the event, said that her friends at school were supportive and that she hoped the rest of the country would be as well.
When asked about Mr. Bush's speech, she said, "I would invite the president to spend a day in my home because I think that would greatly change his mind.""
You tell him, girl.
Friday, February 04, 2005
Don't Tease the Heteros
I went card-shopping for a friend who's having her birthday party tonight. (I hope she doesn't read this until tomorrow!)
Have you ever noticed how hard it is to find a GOOD birthday card? They're all so terrible. So I decided to just run with that trend and pick out a card that was spectacularly inappropriate and hope she gets the joke: it's Darth Vader wishing you "a most impressive" birthday. That has to be the lamest card you could get an exceptionally attractive, über-talented 20-something woman currently skyrocketing her way to operatic stardom. I signed it, "May the Force Be With You."
I got in line to pay and there was a pretty girl ahead of me who gave me a nice smile. I showed her the card and said, "Do you think my girlfriend will like this?"
"Umm...is she a Star Wars fan?"
"No," I said, as cluelessly as I could.
Pause.
"She'll love it," the girl said supportively.
Have you ever noticed how hard it is to find a GOOD birthday card? They're all so terrible. So I decided to just run with that trend and pick out a card that was spectacularly inappropriate and hope she gets the joke: it's Darth Vader wishing you "a most impressive" birthday. That has to be the lamest card you could get an exceptionally attractive, über-talented 20-something woman currently skyrocketing her way to operatic stardom. I signed it, "May the Force Be With You."
I got in line to pay and there was a pretty girl ahead of me who gave me a nice smile. I showed her the card and said, "Do you think my girlfriend will like this?"
"Umm...is she a Star Wars fan?"
"No," I said, as cluelessly as I could.
Pause.
"She'll love it," the girl said supportively.
And another thing...
The numbers Bush is using to promote his privatization plan are based on an extremely optimistic scenario of economic growth; if that scenario were to play out -- and Bush will have you believe that it will -- then there is absolutely no reason to change social security because the corresponding increase in federal tax revenues will erase the shortfall.
One More Flaw
I wanted to point out that Bush's plan for Social Security would allow taxpayers to divert "4 percentage points of their payroll taxes in their accounts."
Obviously, the more you earn, the more stock-buying power you have with your 4%, and the greater your return (if the plan works). Once again, Bush's financial agenda tilts toward the top, and does least for the people who need the most help.
Obviously, the more you earn, the more stock-buying power you have with your 4%, and the greater your return (if the plan works). Once again, Bush's financial agenda tilts toward the top, and does least for the people who need the most help.
Thursday, February 03, 2005
Fake of the Union
Right before I went to bed last night, the last bit of news that came across the internet from CNN.com was that President Bush had reaffirmed his support for a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage. "I can't wait for your blog tomorrow!" commented one of my regulars.
I've decided not to write about that. Despite my intense personal interest and feelings on the subject, it really wasn't the news of the evening; I might as well focus on his support for hydrogen-fueled cars. (Did the Bush family strike hydrogen in Texas?)
There were many things he addressed worthy of discussion and rebuttal, but most of what he said was "true," from a certain perspective. It might be a little premature to see a wave of democracy sweeping across the world from Morocco to Iraq, but you also can't deny there have been encouraging developments. So most responses to the speech would begin, "Yes, but..."
When it comes to Social Security, however, the President lied. I can't put it any more plainly than that. He stood in front of the nation, and said things that were utterly, demonstrably untrue. No spin, no "this is true if" statements. Complete falsehoods. Let's begin.
I have a message for every American who is 55 or older: Do not let anyone mislead you. For you, the Social Security system will not change in any way.
It's the President doing the misleading. The "crisis," such as it is, is 37 years away. By phrasing it this way, Bush clearly means to insinuate that Democrats are intimidating seniors. Democrats know full well that people 55 and older, under the current set-up, are not at risk for losing benefits.
Social Security is not a savings account; the taxes I pay aren't going in to wait for my retirement. What I pay in taxes pays for my grandparents' checks. If we switch over to the system that Bush proposes, there is a $1-2 trillion transition cost; a large part of that is because Social Security will then become a savings account for me; the question that Democrats have asked is, where then does the money to pay today's retirees come from? And that is one of the many questions the President can't or won't answer.
Thirteen years from now, in 2018, Social Security will be paying out more than it takes in. And every year afterward will bring a new shortfall, bigger than the year before.
The first half of his statement is true; but because of changes that were made to Social Security under Ronald Reagan, Social Security has a reserve fund that was created for just this event, which economists have foreseen for decades. So yes, the ratio of retirees to workers means that what the government pays in benefits exceeds what's coming in from taxes. But the money to cover the gap is already there, and has been there for twenty years.
For example, in the year 2027, the government will somehow have to come up with an extra $200 billion to keep the system afloat, and by 2033, the annual shortfall would be more than $300 billion. By the year 2042, the entire system would be exhausted and bankrupt.
No. That reserve fund lasts until 2042 and beyond; what happens in that year, according to analysts, is that the government will only have enough money to pay 70% of the current benefits. Some projections say that we may not even reach this point until 2054.
Let me say that again. It is positively, utterly and in all other ways not true that social security will be "bankrupt" in 2042. Right now, if we do absolutely nothing at all, we can afford to pay full benefits for probably 35-40 more years. At that point, social security will still have lots of money; if we do nothing, we can still pay 70% of our current obligations.
Supporters of Bush's plan like to say that the Democrats deny there is a problem. Not true. There's the problem: in 2042, or thereabouts, we'll only be able to pay 70% of what we currently provide. The question is, what do we do about it? A very modest tax hike will solve the problem: if we repealed Bush's income tax cuts for just the top 1% of the population we can fully fund Social Security for 70 years.
Conservatives then ask, but what do we do at the next crisis, raise taxes again? But they're not looking at their own projections. The baby-boomers who are retiring and will strain the system are not going to live forever; the problem is caused by a relatively small number of folks of working age. Well, guess what? Eventually those folks will retire, too, and there's many fewer of them. At that point, Social Security might well be over-funded, and we could talk tax cuts.
Here is why personal accounts are a better deal. Your money will grow, over time, at a greater rate than anything the current system can deliver, and your account will provide money for retirement over and above the check you will receive from Social Security. In addition, you'll be able to pass along the money that accumulates in your personal account, if you wish, to your children or grandchildren. And best of all, the money in the account is yours, and the government can never take it away.
In order for private accounts to make a return on investments, we would have to see a sustained rate of economic growth -- by sustained I mean forever -- that is unprecedented. I'll say that again: in order to do what Bush says they'll do, the stock market would have to grow even better than it did in the 1990s and never stop doing it. The proofs are complicated, but the bottom line is that Bush's numbers are based on wishful thinking.
People who use financial advisors are used to seeing this disclaimer: Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Puts the "secure" in "security," doesn't it?
Under Bush's plan, it is conceivable that retirees would end up with more money than just Social Security; it's also conceivable that they could end up with less. And that's really the basic issue; Social Security, as it stands, is a guarantee. Bush's plan is not, though he claims it is: it "will" provide and you "will" receive.
He nodded at some of the concerns Democrats and other sane people have raised: he said there would be "guidelines" for the accounts; he said money would only be invested in conservative stocks and bonds; he promised potential earnings -- if any -- wouldn't be "eaten up" by Wall Street fees; he promised investments would be protected by "market swings."
But...how, Mr. President? That is what we want to know, and on that score, he had absolutely nothing to say.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but based on Bush's first four years, I wouldn't take his financial advice.
I've decided not to write about that. Despite my intense personal interest and feelings on the subject, it really wasn't the news of the evening; I might as well focus on his support for hydrogen-fueled cars. (Did the Bush family strike hydrogen in Texas?)
There were many things he addressed worthy of discussion and rebuttal, but most of what he said was "true," from a certain perspective. It might be a little premature to see a wave of democracy sweeping across the world from Morocco to Iraq, but you also can't deny there have been encouraging developments. So most responses to the speech would begin, "Yes, but..."
When it comes to Social Security, however, the President lied. I can't put it any more plainly than that. He stood in front of the nation, and said things that were utterly, demonstrably untrue. No spin, no "this is true if" statements. Complete falsehoods. Let's begin.
I have a message for every American who is 55 or older: Do not let anyone mislead you. For you, the Social Security system will not change in any way.
It's the President doing the misleading. The "crisis," such as it is, is 37 years away. By phrasing it this way, Bush clearly means to insinuate that Democrats are intimidating seniors. Democrats know full well that people 55 and older, under the current set-up, are not at risk for losing benefits.
Social Security is not a savings account; the taxes I pay aren't going in to wait for my retirement. What I pay in taxes pays for my grandparents' checks. If we switch over to the system that Bush proposes, there is a $1-2 trillion transition cost; a large part of that is because Social Security will then become a savings account for me; the question that Democrats have asked is, where then does the money to pay today's retirees come from? And that is one of the many questions the President can't or won't answer.
Thirteen years from now, in 2018, Social Security will be paying out more than it takes in. And every year afterward will bring a new shortfall, bigger than the year before.
The first half of his statement is true; but because of changes that were made to Social Security under Ronald Reagan, Social Security has a reserve fund that was created for just this event, which economists have foreseen for decades. So yes, the ratio of retirees to workers means that what the government pays in benefits exceeds what's coming in from taxes. But the money to cover the gap is already there, and has been there for twenty years.
For example, in the year 2027, the government will somehow have to come up with an extra $200 billion to keep the system afloat, and by 2033, the annual shortfall would be more than $300 billion. By the year 2042, the entire system would be exhausted and bankrupt.
No. That reserve fund lasts until 2042 and beyond; what happens in that year, according to analysts, is that the government will only have enough money to pay 70% of the current benefits. Some projections say that we may not even reach this point until 2054.
Let me say that again. It is positively, utterly and in all other ways not true that social security will be "bankrupt" in 2042. Right now, if we do absolutely nothing at all, we can afford to pay full benefits for probably 35-40 more years. At that point, social security will still have lots of money; if we do nothing, we can still pay 70% of our current obligations.
Supporters of Bush's plan like to say that the Democrats deny there is a problem. Not true. There's the problem: in 2042, or thereabouts, we'll only be able to pay 70% of what we currently provide. The question is, what do we do about it? A very modest tax hike will solve the problem: if we repealed Bush's income tax cuts for just the top 1% of the population we can fully fund Social Security for 70 years.
Conservatives then ask, but what do we do at the next crisis, raise taxes again? But they're not looking at their own projections. The baby-boomers who are retiring and will strain the system are not going to live forever; the problem is caused by a relatively small number of folks of working age. Well, guess what? Eventually those folks will retire, too, and there's many fewer of them. At that point, Social Security might well be over-funded, and we could talk tax cuts.
Here is why personal accounts are a better deal. Your money will grow, over time, at a greater rate than anything the current system can deliver, and your account will provide money for retirement over and above the check you will receive from Social Security. In addition, you'll be able to pass along the money that accumulates in your personal account, if you wish, to your children or grandchildren. And best of all, the money in the account is yours, and the government can never take it away.
In order for private accounts to make a return on investments, we would have to see a sustained rate of economic growth -- by sustained I mean forever -- that is unprecedented. I'll say that again: in order to do what Bush says they'll do, the stock market would have to grow even better than it did in the 1990s and never stop doing it. The proofs are complicated, but the bottom line is that Bush's numbers are based on wishful thinking.
People who use financial advisors are used to seeing this disclaimer: Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Puts the "secure" in "security," doesn't it?
Under Bush's plan, it is conceivable that retirees would end up with more money than just Social Security; it's also conceivable that they could end up with less. And that's really the basic issue; Social Security, as it stands, is a guarantee. Bush's plan is not, though he claims it is: it "will" provide and you "will" receive.
He nodded at some of the concerns Democrats and other sane people have raised: he said there would be "guidelines" for the accounts; he said money would only be invested in conservative stocks and bonds; he promised potential earnings -- if any -- wouldn't be "eaten up" by Wall Street fees; he promised investments would be protected by "market swings."
But...how, Mr. President? That is what we want to know, and on that score, he had absolutely nothing to say.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but based on Bush's first four years, I wouldn't take his financial advice.
Wednesday, February 02, 2005
I'm a Mur-diddly-urderer!
I'm having a spiritual crisis. I try to regard all life as part of God's creation, and try to recognize that every living thing has its role to play -- no matter how ugly or annoying or potentially dangerous it might be.
In that spirit, I've been using a humane trap to deal with my recent mouse problem. (I've had my apartment for 8.5 years and never had a mouse until this fall.) I've got a few of the cute little buggers (they trip a switch and get flipped into a cage) and relocated them several blocks away to Fort Tryon Park. But this week they stepped up the war.
Principally my complaint about them has been that they wake me up in the middle of the night scratching around under the radiator in the bedroom, and sometimes I hear them in the walls. (See the post Das Glückliche Mäuschen for one hilarious adventure.) Well, this week I was awakened by the most unsettling realization that one of them was chewing away on that unsightly mess of wires and computer cables under my desk.
Last night I came home to discover that a potholder I'd left on top of the stove had a hole eaten in it and the filling was all over everywhere -- it looked like it exploded. There were little mouse droppings all over the stove. Then, on top of the refrigerator something had gnawed into a box of arborio rice, which had spilled out and mixed with the mouse turds. Both the stove and the refrigerator got wiped down with bleach.
Then I marched straight to the hardware store, bought poison, and set it out in the obvious areas. I washed my hands and disinfected myself with a large vodka tonic for good measure. (Starbucks needs to expand into the liquor industry. I'll have a grande cosmopolitan, thank you. To go.)
I'm not opposed to mice or particularly scared of them. But they're eating my computer cables, which is potentially expensive and if they expose wires, dangerous. And they're leaving droppings on top of my stove! They have the option of using my humane trap, but I guess they're choosing to be difficult. Still, I feel guilty.
In that spirit, I've been using a humane trap to deal with my recent mouse problem. (I've had my apartment for 8.5 years and never had a mouse until this fall.) I've got a few of the cute little buggers (they trip a switch and get flipped into a cage) and relocated them several blocks away to Fort Tryon Park. But this week they stepped up the war.
Principally my complaint about them has been that they wake me up in the middle of the night scratching around under the radiator in the bedroom, and sometimes I hear them in the walls. (See the post Das Glückliche Mäuschen for one hilarious adventure.) Well, this week I was awakened by the most unsettling realization that one of them was chewing away on that unsightly mess of wires and computer cables under my desk.
Last night I came home to discover that a potholder I'd left on top of the stove had a hole eaten in it and the filling was all over everywhere -- it looked like it exploded. There were little mouse droppings all over the stove. Then, on top of the refrigerator something had gnawed into a box of arborio rice, which had spilled out and mixed with the mouse turds. Both the stove and the refrigerator got wiped down with bleach.
Then I marched straight to the hardware store, bought poison, and set it out in the obvious areas. I washed my hands and disinfected myself with a large vodka tonic for good measure. (Starbucks needs to expand into the liquor industry. I'll have a grande cosmopolitan, thank you. To go.)
I'm not opposed to mice or particularly scared of them. But they're eating my computer cables, which is potentially expensive and if they expose wires, dangerous. And they're leaving droppings on top of my stove! They have the option of using my humane trap, but I guess they're choosing to be difficult. Still, I feel guilty.
Tuesday, February 01, 2005
A Nation of Religious Illiterates
Came across this essay on another blog today and found the data very insightful.
"According to a 1997 poll, only one out of three U.S. citizens is able to name the most basic of Christian texts, the four Gospels, and 12% think Noah's wife was Joan of Arc."
"According to a 1997 poll, only one out of three U.S. citizens is able to name the most basic of Christian texts, the four Gospels, and 12% think Noah's wife was Joan of Arc."
Damn, I'm Good Looking
From the Associated Press:
RAPID CITY, S.D. (AP) -- A buffalo that escaped from an auction ended up in a dressing room at the Rushmore Plaza Civic Center where it spent a couple of hours staring into a mirror.
The buffalo jumped over a steel panel during the Black Hills Stock Show & Rodeo on Sunday morning, went down an alley and got into the dressing room reserved for visiting sports teams, said Brian Maliske, the civic center's general manager.
"The door happened to be unlocked and he pushed the door open and went in,'' Maliske said.
The crew conducting the Black Hills Classic Buffalo Sale decided to keep the animal locked in the dressing room for the rest of the auction. During its two hour stay, it reportedly became fascinated with the image it saw in a big mirror.
Once the sale ended, a rodeo crew member coaxed the buffalo out of the dressing room and back into captivity.
The animal never got into a public area, Maliske said.
RAPID CITY, S.D. (AP) -- A buffalo that escaped from an auction ended up in a dressing room at the Rushmore Plaza Civic Center where it spent a couple of hours staring into a mirror.
The buffalo jumped over a steel panel during the Black Hills Stock Show & Rodeo on Sunday morning, went down an alley and got into the dressing room reserved for visiting sports teams, said Brian Maliske, the civic center's general manager.
"The door happened to be unlocked and he pushed the door open and went in,'' Maliske said.
The crew conducting the Black Hills Classic Buffalo Sale decided to keep the animal locked in the dressing room for the rest of the auction. During its two hour stay, it reportedly became fascinated with the image it saw in a big mirror.
Once the sale ended, a rodeo crew member coaxed the buffalo out of the dressing room and back into captivity.
The animal never got into a public area, Maliske said.
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